Support for the New Patriotic Party is declining while the National Democratic Congress is gaining ground among voters, according to early results from an ongoing March 2026 tracking poll by Global Info Analytics.
Speaking on JoyNews’ Desk programme on March 23, the firm’s Executive Director, Musa Dankwa, said the latest data shows a shift in party affiliation, particularly among previously undecided voters.
“We asked people to tell us which party they normally vote for, or which party they feel affiliated with—not necessarily a member, just a party they identify with,” he explained.
According to him, the proportion of Ghanaians who openly identify with the NPP has dropped slightly, from 26% in December 2025 to 25% in the latest poll. In contrast, the NDC has seen a notable increase in declared support.
“There were losses across NPP, floating voters, and those who don’t disclose, and that number went to NDC,” Mr Dankwa said.
The findings come at a time of heightened political activity following the 2024 general elections, with both major parties seeking to consolidate their base ahead of future contests.
Regional shifts raise concerns
The poll also points to significant changes in key regions, including traditional strongholds of the NPP.
“In the Ashanti Region, NPP support has shrunk to 34%, while NDC is now at 30%,” Mr Dankwa noted, adding that the poll carries a margin of error of 1.4%.
He described the trend as a warning sign, particularly for the governing party’s strongholds.
“In the Eastern Region, another key NPP base, the NDC is now in the majority with 41%, compared to the NPP’s 29%. Even in the Northeast Region, NDC is now dominant,” he added.
National picture
On the national level, the shift appears more pronounced. While the NPP had 37% support ahead of the 2024 elections compared to the NDC’s 33%, the current poll suggests a reversal in fortunes.
Only 25% of respondents now openly identify with the NPP, compared to 46% for the NDC, indicating a widening gap between the two parties.
The disparity is even more evident in key swing regions such as Greater Accra, Central, and Western, where just 22% of respondents say they support the NPP, while 58% back the NDC.
Mr Dankwa suggested the trend may point to internal challenges within the NPP, urging the party to take a closer look at its current standing.
“Something must be wrong somewhere. They need to do an introspection to understand what is going on,” he said.
He added that much of the NDC’s gains appear to be coming from voters who were previously undecided or unwilling to disclose their political preference but are now more open about their affiliation.
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Source: www.myjoyonline.com